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Past Rationality: The 2017 Nobel Award for Economics

by Brian Easton October 24, 2017

Paul Krugman, the 2008 winner, tweeted ‘Yes! Behavorial econ is the best thing to happen to the field in generations, and [Richard] Thaler showed the way.'

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Tags: behavioural economics, Herbert Simons, Kahneman, rational economic man, Thaler
3 Comments

Schrodinger's cat is Malawi's flag

by Andrew Geddis October 20, 2017

Winston Peters' announcement that he will enter a coalition with Labour gives the 2017 election its final meaning. But it sounds like it was a very, very close run thing.

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Tags: 2017 Election, Bill English, Election 2017, Jacinta Arden, Labour Party, MMP, New Zealand First, Winston Peters
12 Comments

This is it - a government - soon - maybe

by steve maharey October 17, 2017

Maybe there will be a government this week. Maybe not. To fill the vacuum speculation is the only alternative. 

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Tags: Bill English, coalition, Jacinda Ardern, Winston Peters
3 Comments

Sue Bradford: Constant Radical

by Brian Easton October 16, 2017

How effective are those who pursue change outside the parliamentary system?

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Tags: Constant Radical, Greens, protest activity, radical activity, Sue Bradford
4 Comments

While we wait, a few lessons from the caretaker days

by Tim Watkin October 11, 2017

New Zealand will not fall apart while we wait for a government to be negotiated. But that does not mean we have to just accept a lack of respect for transparency and shouldn't expect better

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Tags: caretaker government, coalition deals, Labour and National, Winston Peters
6 Comments

Relax - Winston Peters, Negotiations and getting the best from MMP

by steve maharey October 09, 2017

It has been 21 years since the first Mixed Member Proportional (MMP) election. But we do not seem to be learning how to get the best from the system. We are treating it like First-Past-the-Post (FPP). It is time to relax and play to strengths of MMP. 

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Tags: coalitions, MMP, negotiations, Winston Peters
14 Comments

This much we know: It's a different kind of drag race

by Tim Watkin October 09, 2017

Amidst a pletohora of speculation around the government coalition talks, this weekend's final results made one thing very clear and Winston Peters knows it

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Tags: coalition deals, Labour Party, National Party, New Zealand First, Winston Peters

Schrodinger's election

by Andrew Geddis October 08, 2017

Was the 2017 election a vote for change? Or was it an endorsement of the status quo? The answer is yes ... and no.

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16 Comments

The numbers are in, let the politics begin

by Andrew Geddis October 07, 2017

The official election results finally have been announced. They tell us what we thought they would - so now what will they mean?

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Tags: Election 2017, Labour, MMP, National, NZ First, special votes, Winston Peters
5 Comments

Why Voters Will Be Disappointed by the Election Outcome.

by Brian Easton October 05, 2017

New Zealand’s electoral system gives it a parliament which represents voters. Its winner-takes-all executive government, however, remains unrepresentative.* (This is a follow on from the earlier column on coalitions.)

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Tags: 2017 Election, coalitions, parliament, party's political ideology
8 Comments

In Praise of Public Servants

by Brian Easton October 02, 2017

This was written before the election outcome is known. It looks at the part of the executive which is not elected: the public servants and advisors.

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Tags: Election 2017, Geoffrey Palmer, George Gair, political advisers, public servants, shewan report, Steven Joyce
5 Comments

A worry-wort's guide to Election 17 - the Majors

by Tim Watkin September 30, 2017

While we wait for the specials to be counted and negotiations to begin, we can review what happened in Election 2017. A determinedly glass half-empty view of the results shows the big two parties have plenty to fret about

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Tags: Bill English, Election 2017, Jacinda Ardern, Labour Party, National Party, Winston Peters
5 Comments

Exclusive: Winston weighs up which way to go

by Tim Watkin September 27, 2017

Pundit can reveal an exclusive report from inside Winston's head... We see what he's actually thinking

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Tags: Bill English, coalition government, Jacinda Ardern, Winston Peters
13 Comments

How governments form under MMP ...

by Andrew Geddis September 27, 2017

AUT's Julienne Molineaux has written a must-read guide to post-election processes ... anyone wanting to know anything about this should go and read it.

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Tags: AUT, constitutional convention, Election 2017, government formation, Julianne Molineaux, MMP, Policy Briefing, Winston Peters
3 Comments

A new beast of a government, whichever way Winston goes

by Wyatt Creech September 26, 2017

The vote this election was quite predictable, but the journey of the campaign was not and whichever new government we get, it will be very different from the John Key years

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Tags: Bill English, Election 2017, Jacinda Ardern, James Shaw, Peter Dunne, Winston Peters
3 Comments

Politics Makes Strange Bedfellows

by Brian Easton September 25, 2017

This is a series of quantitative thoughts on the election outcome. It is based on the 2017 election night vote. Specials are likely to change precise voting shares and even seats. However potential changes do not invalidate the column’s overall conclusions.

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Tags: 2017 Election, Banzhaf index- coalitions-, MMP
5 Comments

The morning after the night before

by Andrew Geddis September 24, 2017

What do we know, don't we know and think we know after the election night results?

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Tags: 2017 Election, MMP, special votes
16 Comments

Bill makes history before heading into the Winston maze

by Tim Watkin September 24, 2017

With so much analysis it can be easy to miss the wood for the trees at this point. While there's still nothing certain about our next government, we can look back to look forward and recognise the historic nature of this result

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Tags: Bill English, coalition deals, Election 2017, Jacinda Ardern, Winston Peters
9 Comments

How your vote may turn into a government

by Tim Watkin September 22, 2017

So who might be able to work with whom after this weekend's election? Well, it's complicated...

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Tags: Bill English, coalition deals, Election 17, Jacinda Ardern
5 Comments

Not That Kind of Voting

by Leonid Sirota September 20, 2017

What the Electoral Commission’s attempt to boost turnout gets wrong about voting, and what we can learn from it.

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Tags: 2017 Election, advance voting, Electoral Commission, get out the vote, GOTV, voting
2 Comments
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